Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 37

Severe Weather near Bella Vista

BarryUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 43 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 30 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 6th strongest of the 23 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 23 May 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 30 at 4:01PM CDT until May 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR

An estimated 213,516 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 27 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates36.5961, -93.9918
Nearest CityBella Vista (28 km)
Population Exposed213.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-30T21:01:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1883a0cdb746b92064069d2599ef2d5

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBoone, AR; Marion, AR; Newton, AR; Searcy, AR; Perry, AR; Saline, AR; Yell, AR; Barton, MO; Jasper, MO and 3 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 30 at 4:01PM CDT until May 30 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Little Rock AR
Expires2026-05-30T16:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Little Rock AR
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1883a0cdb746b92064069d2599ef2d5e9535f54.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c0a4af700a769c0811ad64c3c1d7a034f83e6f11.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d9a82e2e49f0b9f7b3e6728e7fd2efbe3736f938.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67c777a0af72e272bf62d7772a7d4ac225d200a3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e86a75640fe3238280f4a0ab60a7a276a604a87d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6896c66bca617b6ff5b79cf966ed66554247d04.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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